Hi Everyone ,
I am trying to interprete EL Trend Predictor results and would like some guidance on how to use this information in EL . Can anyone with previous experience using it please assist ? For example:
Input Data = last 500 winning draws
Starting Row = 1
Last Row to Ignore = 0
Number of Rows for Validation = 30
Pattern Size = 5/20 min/max
Match Ratio = 0.7/1.0/1.0 min/max/step
Column Selection : 1(1)
Increase (58-22-19), success rate=80.00% (24/6+0), best pattern size=6, prediction type=Trend Position Match, minimum match ratio=0.7
Increase (58-22-19), success rate=80.00% (24/6+0), best pattern size=6, prediction type=Trend Position Match, minimum match ratio=0.8
Increase (45-45-10), success rate=76.67% (23/7+0), best pattern size=19, prediction type=StdDev( Trends )
Increase (55-34-11), success rate=73.33% (22/8+0), best pattern size=15, prediction type=StdDev( Values )
Decrease (30-40-30), success rate=73.33% (22/8+0), best pattern size=5, prediction type=Trend Position Match, minimum match ratio=0.9
Decrease (30-40-30), success rate=73.33% (22/8+0), best pattern size=5, prediction type=Trend Position Match, minimum match ratio=1.0
Interpretion 1st row:
1) Increase (58-22-19)
58% of past data indicated increase,
22% of past data indicated decrease
Q1. the resulting prediction 19% means what ?
2) Success rate=80.00% (24/6+0)
The predictions were correct in 80% in the last 30 draws.
24/6+0 means that for the last 30 rows/draws there were 24 valid predictions, 6 predictions were invalid and for 0 rows the predictor couldn't find any matching past data.
Q2. What predictions were correct ? What can I see or find these predictions?
3)best pattern size=6, prediction type=Trend Position Match, minimum match ratio=0.7
Q3. What is best pattern size, prediction type and minimum match? How to interprete and use them
Apply results
Q4. I seem to be missing something, how to use the Trend Predictor Results in EL ? If in Filters , where ?
Regards
nik